Welcome to the NerdBall NFL Power Rankings. We love data here, and produce many statistics to help you identify those edges needed to help you win your fantasy leagues and make money playing DFS or betting on NFL games. One of the key stats we bring to you are out team NEFF ratings, a statistical analysis of team performance that allows us to rank the 32 NFL teams to show you who’s statistically good (and not so good).
In these weekly power rankings, I am going to take those NEFF rankings and look to layer on my own tape review of each team to give an alternative view of how the teams in the NFL should be ranked, with some short commentary over why the teams are ranked where they are.
Without further ado, let’s get into my NFL power rankings heading into Week 5.
| Rank | Team | Last Week | +/- | NEFF Rank | ONEFF Rank | DNEFF Rank | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills (3-1) | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | Gutsy comeback win over the Ravens keeps them in top spot |
| 2 | Philadelphia Eagles (4-0) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | The only unbeaten team left but I'd still pick the Bills if they faced off today |
| 3 | Kansas City Chiefs (3-1) | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 15 | Impressive win on the road in Tamps keeps the Chiefs at number 3 |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 4 | Move up despite the loss to the Chiefs |
| 5 | San Francisco 49ers (2-2) | 12 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 1 | That defense is terrifying and will keep the 49ers in every game |
| 6 | Miami Dolphins (3-1) | 4 | -2 | 18 | 10 | 29 | The Tua situation is worrying but steady Teddy an keep them on track |
| 7 | Minnesota Vikings (3-1) | 8 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 25 | Ground out a win against a top defense in London |
| 8 | Green Bay Packers (3-1) | 9 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | Steadily improving and face a beat up Giants in London in Week 5 |
| 9 | Baltimore Ravens (2-2) | 7 | -2 | 8 | 6 | 23 | A second blown big lead for the Ravens has them dropping |
| 10 | Dallas Cowboys (3-1) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 5 | The Cooper Rush experience is doing enough to compliment a strong defense |
| 11 | Los Angeles Rams (2-2) | 6 | -5 | 27 | 29 | 17 | Big fallers this week after a toothless offensive display against the 49ers |
| 12 | Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) | 14 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 21 | Took care of a poor Texans team depsite the injury issues |
| 13 | Cleveland Browns (2-2) | 11 | -2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | The Browns could/should be 4-0 but need to finish better |
| 14 | Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) | 10 | -4 | 12 | 17 | 6 | Drop for the Jaguars after blowing an early lead and struggling against the Eagles |
| 15 | Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) | 19 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 6 | Arrow up for the Bengals who face the Ravens in Week 5 |
| 16 | New Orleans Saints (1-3) | 15 | -1 | 16 | 20 | 14 | Battled hard despite the injuries but need to get healthy to compete |
| 17 | Arizona Cardinals (2-2) | 18 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 27 | Ran through a poor Panthers team to keep pace in the NFC West |
| 18 | Atlanta Falcons (2-2) | 22 | 4 | 29 | 13 | 27 | The Falcons are certified frisky and continue to be competitive each week |
| 19 | Denver Broncos (2-2) | 17 | -2 | 20 | 25 | 8 | Should have done better against the Raiders and now Russ is banged up |
| 20 | Tennessee Titans (2-2) | 24 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 26 | Back to their winning style though the Burks injury leaves them one-dimensional on offense |
| 21 | Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) | 20 | -1 | 20 | 22 | 19 | Steadily dropping but can Pickett help turn the tide? |
| 22 | Detroit Lions (1-3) | 16 | -6 | 14 | 1 | 32 | The best offense and worst defense makes for a team thats dropping into the bottom third |
| 23 | New England Patriots (1-3) | 21 | -2 | 15 | 14 | 22 | Ran the Packers close despite the QB injuries but looking like an also ran in 2022 |
| 24 | New York Giants (3-1) | 23 | -1 | 31 | 26 | 13 | Somehow 3-1 but in for a rude awakening in London this week. QB injuries a major concern |
| 25 | New York Jets (2-2) | 26 | 1 | 26 | 28 | 20 | Zach is back and catching touchdowns. Start of a new looking Jets? |
| 26 | Washington Commanders (1-3) | 25 | -1 | 17 | 23 | 24 | Looking worse each week and in need of inspiration |
| 27 | Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) | 29 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 29 | Great result against the Broncos but still a long way to go for Vegas |
| 28 | Seattle Seahawks (2-2) | 31 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 31 | Looking good on offense under Geno Smith but still major issues on defense |
| 29 | Carolina Panthers (1-3) | 27 | -2 | 23 | 31 | 10 | Looking scarily bad on offense with Baker. Not a good team |
| 30 | Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) | 28 | -2 | 32 | 30 | 15 | Were struggling on offense and now Jonathan Taylor looks banged up. Arrows down for Indy |
| 31 | Chicago Bears (2-2) | 30 | -1 | 29 | 32 | 12 | Currently the lowest rated offense since the Josh Rosen Cardinals in 2018. Enough said |
| 32 | Houston Texans (0-3-1) | 32 | 0 | 19 | 26 | 9 | Still the worst looking team, though Dameon Pierce is legit |