Welcome to the first week of the NerdBall NFL Power Rankings. We love data here, and produce many statistics to help you identify those edges needed to help you win your fantasy leagues and make money playing DFS or betting on NFL games. One of the key stats we bring to you are out team NEFF ratings, a statistical analysis of team performance that allows us to rank the 32 NFL teams to show you who’s statistically good (and not so good).
In these power rankings which will come out each week, I am going to take those NEFF rankings and look to layer on my own tape review of each team to give an alternative view of how the teams in the NFL should be ranked, with some short commentary over why the teams are ranked where they are.
Without further ado, let’s get into my NFL power rankings heading into Week 3.
| Rank | Team | Record | NEFF Rank | ONEFF Rank | DNEFF Rank | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | The Bills have started like a train and are far and away the best team in the NFL through two weeks |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | The offense isn't missing a beat without Tyreek Hill and have made scoring points look easy so far |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2-0 | 8 | 22 | 2 | The slow start to the Bucs' offense is more than complimented by a suffocating defense |
| 4 | Philadelphia Eagles | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | 23 | The Eagles look dynamic on offense so far |
| 5 | Los Angeles Rams | 1-1 | 24 | 23 | 22 | A bounce back win and despite a slow start, I feel confident the Rams are still the best team in the division |
| 6 | Miami Dolphins | 2-0 | 13 | 6 | 26 | A surprise package for sure, though the Bills in Week 3 will be a proper test of their squad |
| 7 | Los Angeles Chargers | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | Arguably outplayed the Chiefs on TNF but the loss in division hurts the Chargers early on |
| 8 | Baltimore Ravens | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | 24 | The loss to the Dolphins will be a wake up call to get the defense back on track |
| 9 | San Francisco 49ers | 1-1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | With Jimmy G now under center, I dont think the 49ers miss a beat and will be a tough test for anyone |
| 10 | Minnesota Vikings | 1-1 | 13 | 17 | 19 | A setback vs the Eagles but still the division favories for me |
| 11 | Green Bay Packers | 1-1 | 19 | 12 | 9 | Back on track against the Bears but just behind the Vikings through two weeks |
| 12 | New Orleans Saints | 1-1 | 17 | 18 | 15 | A tough loss to the Bucs in Week 2 but the Saints will bounce back |
| 13 | Cleveland Browns | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 17 | The heartbreaking loss doesn't change that the Browns will be pushing for the playoffs this year |
| 14 | Detroit Lions | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 31 | if nothing else, the Lions will be a fun watch in 2022 based on the first two weeks |
| 15 | New England Patriots | 1-1 | 7 | 13 | 6 | I'm on the fence with the Patriots so far, though the defense has been as good as I envisioned |
| 16 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | 4 | A strong performance vs the Colts, but I need to see more to move them further up |
| 17 | Arizona Cardinals | 1-1 | 23 | 10 | 32 | Kyler's performance gives me hope the Cardinals can build on their unlikely Week 2 victory |
| 18 | New York Giants | 2-0 | 24 | 24 | 9 | Unbeaten but unconvincing so far for me, though there's an edge to them they've not shown in recent years |
| 19 | Dallas Cowboys | 1-1 | 15 | 24 | 9 | Defense looks fierce but I think they struggle until Dak returns |
| 20 | Denver Broncos | 1-1 | 15 | 20 | 5 | Can the Broncos overcome their early coaching woes and compete? |
| 21 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 1-1 | 18 | 20 | 14 | How far will the Steelers go before unleashing Kenny Pickett to revive a lacklustre offensive offering |
| 22 | Cincinnati Bengals | 0-2 | 28 | 26 | 20 | A rough start for the Bengals but they could be 2-0 with small changes in Luck. They need to keep Burrow upright to get back on track. |
| 23 | Washington Commanders | 1-1 | 12 | 8 | 25 | Frisky on offense with lots of weapons but defenisvely look worrying so far heading into back to back divisional games |
| 24 | New York Jets | 1-1 | 21 | 15 | 26 | Incredible victory but can they follow it up against the Bengals? |
| 25 | Atlanta Falcons | 0-2 | 26 | 14 | 28 | Two narrow losses but the Falcons look better than expected |
| 26 | Las Vegas Raiders | 0-2 | 31 | 19 | 29 | Their capitulation against the Cardinals has me worried how competitive the Raiders are going to be |
| 27 | TennesseeTitans | 0-2 | 31 | 28 | 30 | I want to think they'll get back on track but the blowout loss to the Bills raised a lot of questions about the Titans moving forward |
| 28 | Houston Texans | 0-1-1 | 20 | 27 | 7 | Tough to beat but uninspiring offensively through two weeks. |
| 29 | Carolina Panthers | 0-2 | 21 | 30 | 7 | A worringly poor offensive output through two weeks has me rating them as the worst team in the NFC South |
| 30 | Seattle Seahawks | 1-1 | 28 | 32 | 16 | The Week 1 victory pasted over the cracks of an offense with a very low ceiling |
| 31 | Indianapolis Colts | 0-1-1 | 30 | 31 | 17 | The Colts have been a mess through two weeks. Can they get their receivers healthy and on the field to support Matt Ryan? |
| 32 | Chicago Bears | 1-1 | 27 | 29 | 12 | Week 1 was an aberration in poor weather as the Bears are clearly the weakest team in the NFL |