Welcome to the NerdBall NFL Power Rankings. We love data here, and produce many statistics to help you identify those edges needed to help you win your fantasy leagues and make money playing DFS or betting on NFL games. One of the key stats we bring to you are out team NEFF ratings, a statistical analysis of team performance that allows us to rank the 32 NFL teams to show you who’s statistically good (and not so good).
In these weekly power rankings, I am going to take those NEFF rankings and look to layer on my own tape review of each team to give an alternative view of how the teams in the NFL should be ranked, with some short commentary over why the teams are ranked where they are.
Without further ado, let’s get into my NFL power rankings heading into Week 4.
| Rank | Team | Last Week | +/- | NEFF Rank | ONEFF Rank | DNEFF Rank | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills (2-1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | A disappointing result in Miami but the Bills remain the team to beat |
| 2 | Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | Another dominant win moves the Eagles up to be the top rated team in the AFC |
| 3 | Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) | 2 | -1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | They lost but should have beaten the Colts. I still very much believe in this Chiefs team |
| 4 | Miami Dolphins (3-0) | 6 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 26 | Beating the best and staying perfect moves you up. Defense needs to tighten up or they wont stay unbeaten for much longer |
| 5 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) | 3 | -2 | 8 | 23 | 1 | Drop a couple of spots as the offense is erratic with all the injuries but still a top tier team |
| 6 | Los Angeles Rams (2-1) | 5 | -1 | 14 | 19 | 17 | Moved the Rams down despite winning as results are outpacing performances in 2022 |
| 7 | Baltimore Ravens (2-1) | 8 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 24 | Lamar is on an MVP tear again but that defense is a liability at the moment |
| 8 | Minnesota Vikings (2-1) | 10 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 21 | Bounced back to beat the frisky Lions, though where had Justin Jefferson gone? |
| 9 | Green Bay Packers (2-1) | 11 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 12 | Ground out a victory against the Bucs to move up the rankings |
| 10 | Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) | 16 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 4 | Injuries to the Chargers aside, the Jaguars dominated on the road and have made a considerable leap under Doug Pedersen |
| 11 | Cleveland Browns (2-1) | 13 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 19 | Back on track against the Steelers, with one of the best rushing attacks in the league |
| 12 | San Francisco 49ers (1-2) | 9 | -3 | 5 | 23 | 3 | Disappointing loss and Jimmy G not as assured as I hoped he would be. Defense as advertsied though |
| 13 | Dallas Cowboys (2-1) | 19 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 8 | Highest move up the rankings with the news Dak could be back within a couple of weeks. Defense remains a fierce unit |
| 14 | Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) | 7 | -7 | 16 | 13 | 20 | The injury jinx looks to have struck again and they were soundly beaten by the Jaguars |
| 15 | New Orleans Saints (1-2) | 12 | -3 | 20 | 22 | 14 | A bad defeat to the Panthers and some offensive injuries has the arrow pointing down for the Saints as they head to London |
| 16 | Detroit Lions (1-2) | 14 | -2 | 12 | 2 | 31 | Offensive injuries and a swing door defense has me worried the Lions will continue to drop down the rankings |
| 17 | Denver Broncos (2-1) | 20 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 5 | Some signs the Broncos may be turning the corner but far from the finished article |
| 18 | Arizona Cardinals (1-2) | 17 | -1 | 28 | 9 | 32 | I may be a little high on the Cardinals but Kyler is the X-Factor to get their season on track |
| 19 | Cincinnati Bengals (1-2) | 22 | 3 | 22 | 25 | 7 | Much better from the Bengals and their season is back on track |
| 20 | Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) | 21 | 1 | 23 | 20 | 18 | Dominated by the Browns and lacking oomph on offense. Could this be Mike Tomlin's first losing season? |
| 21 | New England Patriots (1-2) | 15 | -6 | 10 | 13 | 16 | The Mac Jones injury massively impacts the Patriots' chances in 2022 |
| 22 | Atlanta Falcons (1-2) | 25 | 3 | 26 | 9 | 28 | A frisky offense makes the Falcons watchable, but the defensive issues will be what kills their season |
| 23 | New York Giants (2-1) | 18 | -5 | 32 | 29 | 21 | Despite the score, the Giants were soundly beaten by Dallas and looked more like what we thought they'd be. At least Saquon is fun to watch |
| 24 | Tennessee Titans (1-2) | 27 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 29 | Much more like their old selves last week on offense but a long way to go |
| 25 | Washington Commanders (1-2) | 23 | -2 | 21 | 16 | 27 | Blown away by the Eagles and looking very much like a bottom 10 team in 2022 |
| 26 | New York Jets (1-2) | 24 | -2 | 26 | 28 | 21 | Will the Jets be any better with Zach Wilson potentially returning in Week 4. They need him to be the man they drafted |
| 27 | Carolina Panthers (1-2) | 29 | 2 | 18 | 30 | 9 | Stomped on a hurt Saints team but still a poor looking team |
| 28 | Indianapolis Colts (1-1-1) | 31 | 3 | 29 | 32 | 15 | Sneaked a victory against the Chiefs but hopefully it is the catalyst for some better performances |
| 29 | Las Vegas Raiders (0-3) | 26 | -3 | 31 | 17 | 30 | The talent on this team alone keeps them out of the bottom 3. Good time for a bye week to get themselves right |
| 30 | Chicago Bears (2-1) | 32 | 2 | 25 | 31 | 11 | No offense to speak of but two wins. Sign of a good team right? RIGHT? |
| 31 | Seattle Seahawks (1-2) | 30 | -1 | 24 | 26 | 24 | The Seahawks are a hard watch but I think they'd just about beat the Texans. Just. |
| 32 | Houston Texans (0-2-1) | 28 | -4 | 17 | 27 | 6 | Another close defeat but wins are going to be hard to come by for the Texans |