Welcome to the NerdBall NFL Power Rankings. We love data here, and produce many statistics to help you identify those edges needed to help you win your fantasy leagues and DFS bets. One of the key stats we bring to you are out team NEFF rating. This is a statistical analysis of team performance that allows us to rank the 32 NFL teams to show you who’s statistically good, and not so good.
In these weekly power rankings, I take each team’s NEFF rankings and add layer of my own tape review to give an alternative view of how the teams in the NFL should be ranked.
The Raiders rise three places this week as they registered their third win in a row, with their rival Chiefs and Chargers dropping two places after each lost to put a dent their playoff standings in the AFC.
Without further ado, let’s get into my NFL power rankings heading into Week 13.
| Rank | Team | +/- | NEFF Rank | ONEFF Rank | DNEFF Rank | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia Eagles (11-1) | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | Switched it up again to dominate the Titans through the air. The Week 16 match up with the Cowboys is going to be a cracker. |
| 2 | Dallas Cowboys (9-3) | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | Probably the most complete team in the NFL right now and ready to pounce if the Eagles slip up at all |
| 3 | Buffalo Bills (9-3) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Took care of the Patriots with their most complete performance since beating the Steelers in Week 5 |
| 4 | Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) | -2 | 5 | 1 | 17 | The Bengals are becoming the Chiefs' kryptonite but they remain in the race for the No. 1 seed in the AFC |
| 5 | Cincinnati Bengals (8-4) | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15 | Signature vs the Chiefs and the Bengals are one of the hottest teams in the NFL heading towards the playoffs |
| 6 | San Francisco 49ers (8-4) | -1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | A dominant win over the Dolphins but where does the Jimmy G injury put their ceiling going forward? |
| 7 | Miami Dolphins (8-4) | -1 | 15 | 7 | 25 | The ankle injury to Tua is a worry but should not miss time. Need to get back on track quickly against the Chargers this week |
| 8 | Minnesota Vikings (10-2) | 0 | 25 | 17 | 24 | Such an unimpressive 10-win team but they keep doing it. Lions will be a real test this week as they look to tie up the division crown |
| 9 | Baltimore Ravens (8-4) | 0 | 7 | 11 | 6 | Losing Lamar is a worry for a team facing a real challenge from the Bengals. If its more than a week I worry for their hopes on winning the AFC North. |
| 10 | Tennessee Titans (7-5) | 0 | 16 | 26 | 13 | Back to back losses vs Super Bowl contenders is a worry but the schedule eases up and the Titans should cruise to the AFC South |
| 11 | Seattle Seahawks (7-5) | 2 | 16 | 17 | 26 | Nearly lost to the undermanned Rams but the win keeps them in touch with the 49ers |
| 12 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6) | 2 | 11 | 15 | 10 | Scraped a victory against the Saints to get back to 0.500 but major issues remain |
| 13 | Los Angeles Chargers (6-6) | -2 | 19 | 13 | 26 | Surprisingly uncompeitive against the Raiders and now facing back to back AFC contenders that will make or break their season |
| 14 | New England Patriots (6-6) | -2 | 10 | 25 | 4 | Didn't offer much against Bills who were able to get after their defense. The hardest team rank right now. |
| 15 | Washington Commanders (7-5-1) | 1 | 6 | 19 | 8 | A tie was probably the right result vs the Giants but the Commanders will fancy their chances when they meet again after the bye this week |
| 16 | New York Giants (7-4-1) | 1 | 22 | 23 | 19 | Steadied the ship after back to back losses but they face their toughest test in the Eagles this week |
| 17 | New York Jets (7-5) | -2 | 9 | 27 | 9 | I'm loving the Garrett Wilson rookie breakout. Can he put up numbers again against the Bills this week |
| 18 | Cleveland Browns (5-7) | 1 | 13 | 10 | 22 | What a day for the defense but pretty much a free pass against the woeful Texans |
| 19 | Atlanta Falcons (5-8) | -1 | 31 | 22 | 30 | Another close loss and it must be getting close to Desmond Ridder time |
| 20 | Green Bay Packers (5-8) | 1 | 20 | 12 | 23 | Stopped the rot with a convincing win over the Bears but too little too late in a disappointing season |
| 21 | Arizona Cardinals (5-7) | -1 | 22 | 13 | 29 | Bye week and just dropped a spot with the Packers' win |
| 22 | Detroit Lions (5-7) | 1 | 12 | 6 | 32 | Their most convincing win of the season and sets up an exciting Week 14 game with the Vikings |
| 23 | New Orleans Saints (4-9) | -1 | 14 | 20 | 16 | So close to beating the Bucs but the Saints have just not been good enough. A long-needed bye week this week |
| 24 | Pittsburgh Steelers (5-7) | 1 | 26 | 24 | 21 | 3 wins in 4 for the Steelers who will fancy their chnaces against a Lama-less Ravens this week. |
| 25 | Las Vegas Raiders (5-7) | 3 | 18 | 9 | 31 | 3 on the bounce for the Raiders who have a long way to go to stand a playoff chance but they're trending right |
| 26 | Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8) | -2 | 21 | 16 | 20 | Blown away by the Lions in the battle of the big cats with the Titans and Cowboys up next. |
| 27 | Los Angeles Rams (3-9) | -1 | 29 | 30 | 18 | How long until we get a Baker start for the flatlining Rams? |
| 28 | Indianapolis Colts (4-8-1) | -1 | 30 | 31 | 11 | A total 4th quarter capitulation from the Colts and those optimistic days from Week 10 feel like a distant memory |
| 29 | Carolina Panthers (4-8) | 0 | 27 | 28 | 14 | Bye week for the Panthers who remain in with a chance in the NFC South |
| 30 | Chicago Bears (3-10) | 1 | 24 | 21 | 28 | Justin Fields was back and doing his things but the Bears are so talent poor there's only so much he can do |
| 31 | Denver Broncos (3-9) | -1 | 28 | 29 | 7 | Another shocker on offense for the Broncos who get the Chiefs this week |
| 32 | Houston Texans (1-10-1) | 0 | 32 | 32 | 12 | Found a new way to lose this week and stay bottom, giving up multiple defensive touchdowns to the Browns |