When looking at the winners of the Milly Maker or any other large-field DFS tournament on DraftKings throughout this season, it seems as if the chalky players are hitting more often than previous years. Just last week, the Milly Maker winner had only one player that was rostered below 10% ownership and that player was Christian Watson.
Understanding ownership percentages and using it to your advantage is a way to separate yourself from part of the field. There’s no doubt that NFL DFS involves luck, but we can use expected rostership percentages to make educated choices in our lineups.
With the Jaguars, Dolphins, Seahawks, and Buccaneers all one a bye week, here are my favorite stacks for the Week 11 main slate on DraftKings.
Dak Prescott ($6,600) + CeeDee Lamb ($7,500) + Michael Gallup ($5,100) or Dalton Schultz ($4,300)
It was a quiet outing from Prescott in Week 7 in his first game back from a thumb injury with 12.3 points, but he’s since scored 20-plus points on DraftKings in two straight appearances. Prescott is playing in the game with the third-highest projected total on the main slate and the Vikings allow the eighth-most points per game to QBs.
Lamb leads all WRs that have logged nine-plus games with a massive 31.1% target share and he just scored a season-high 41 points in Week 10 against the Packers. Gallup and Schultz are viable options to double-stack with Prescott, and I’d lean toward Schultz as the better option as he boasts the second-most red-zone targets on the Cowboys.
Bring-back options: Justin Jefferson ($9,100), Dalvin Cook ($8,000), Adam Thielen ($5,500), T.J. Hockenson ($5,300)
Despite being in an unfavorable matchup in Week 10 versus the Bills, Jefferson still managed to record 38.3 points. It’s going to be tough to pay up for either Jefferson or Cook, but I’d certainly lean in favor of Jefferson. Using Thielen, Hockenson, or even K.J. Osborn ($4,000) is one way to be slightly different if you’re using a bring-back option from the Vikings.
Justin Fields ($7,600) + Darnell Mooney ($5,400) + Chase Claypool ($4,800) or Cole Kmet ($4,100)
Fields continues to evolve into one of the better quarterback options in fantasy as he’s logged 12-plus rushing attempts in four of the last five games and he’s rushed for 60-plus yards in each of his last five appearances. With Fields having most of his production coming from his legs—10.9 non-passing PPG—it’s fine single-stacking him in tournaments against a Falcons defense that allows the ninth-most points per game to QBs.
Mooney and Claypool are both viable options to stack with Fields as they’re both affordable and there isn’t a team giving up more points per game to WRs than the Falcons this season. Kmet has combined for nine receptions, 115 yards, and four touchdowns in the last two weeks while having five touchdowns in the last three games.
Bring-back options: Cordarrelle Patterson ($6,200), Drake London ($5,100), Kyle Pitts ($4,400)
The Falcons aren’t a team that likes to throw the ball much, even when they’re playing from behind, so it’s fine not using a bring-back option if you’re stacking the Bears. That being said, the Falcons are favored in the game with the highest projected total on the main slate. Patterson is a nice GPP play against a defense that surrenders the fifth-most points per game to RBs this season despite rookie Tyler Allgeier also getting touches out of the backfield.
Josh Allen ($8,500) + Stefon Diggs ($8,300) + Gabriel Davis ($6,300) or Dawson Knox ($3,200)
The showdown between the Browns and the Bills has been moved to Detroit due to weather concerns, so Allen is certainly in play as he’ll be in a dome. The strong-armed quarterback is dealing with an elbow injury, so his rushing production could be slightly lower than usual, but he can still put up 30-plus points with just his arm.
Diggs is rocking a 28.4% target share in an offense that loves to throw the ball often while Davis is a touchdown machine, scoring 16-plus points in the four games he’s scored a touchdown in. Stacking the Bills isn’t going to be cheap, so using Knox is one way to get exposure to Buffalo and allow yourself to spend up at other positions.
Bring-back options: Nick Chubb ($8,200), Amari Cooper ($6,400), Donovan Peoples-Jones ($4,600), David Njoku ($3,900)
It’s tough paying up for Chubb at $8,200 with the other high-salary options at running back, but he’s always an option with him being low-owned in tournaments. Peoples-Jones has scored 11-plus points in four straight games and he’s done it in five of his last six appearances. Njoku has a chance to return on Sunday versus the Bills, but make sure to keep tabs on his status ahead of the game.
Kirk Cousins ($6,100) + Justin Jefferson ($9,100) + Adam Thielen ($5,500) or T.J. Hockenson ($5,300)
While I do like the Cowboys slightly more in tournaments, I’ll also be stacking the Vikings in Week 11. Dallas allowed three passing touchdowns to Aaron Rodgers in Week 10, so Cousins is capable of putting up solid numbers at an affordable salary at home.
Jefferson leads the Vikings with a 28% target share and Minnesota moves him around in the offense, so Trevon Diggs likely won’t see him on every snap. DraftKings is making it tough to pay up at the wide receiver position, so Thielen and Hockenson are the other favored options when stacking the Vikings on Sunday.
Bring-back options: CeeDee Lamb ($7,500), Tony Pollard ($6,500), Michael Gallup ($5,100), Dalton Schultz ($4,300)
It remains to be seen if Ezekiel Elliott returns in Week 11, so I went ahead and listed Pollard as the preferred bring-back option. Even if Elliott does return, there’s a chance we see Pollard get most of the work as the Cowboys ease the veteran back into the offense with a knee injury. Being that Lamb will be one of the most popular wide receivers on the main slate, using Gallup and Schultz can make your lineups a bit different from the rest of the field.
Joe Burrow ($6,800) + Tee Higgins ($7,100) + Tyler Boyd ($6,500) or Hayden Hurst ($3,500)
While the Bengals didn’t look good in their first game without Ja’Marr Chase in Week 8, they looked much better in Week 9. Burrow still has a great set of weapons in Higgins, Boyd, Hurst, and Joe Mixon to target with Chase expected to be sidelined for at least another week.
Coming out of their bye week, the Bengals likely worked on ways to get Higgins more downfield usage. The Steelers have allowed the second-most points per game to WRs, making Higgins and Boyd nice GPP options on DraftKings. Hurst is an alternative option that allows you to spend up elsewhere.
Bring-back options: Diontae Johnson ($5,800), George Pickens ($5,200), Pat Freiermuth ($4,200)
Some people may elect to use either Najee Harris or Jaylen Warren as a bring-back option for Bengals stacks. I’d prefer to use Johnson, Pickens, or Freiermuth, but if I had to choose between Harris or Warren, I’ll take the risk for a cheaper Warren in GPPs. Even though Harris received 20 carries in Week 10, Warren totaled a season-high 77 scrimmage yards while seeing 43% of the offensive snaps.