Every Tuesday this season, I’ve written up my favorite plays for the showdown slate on DraftKings for the Thursday Night Football game. This week is a bit different with Thanksgiving taking place on Thursday, meaning that we’ll be treated to a three-game DFS slate while we stuff our faces full of food.
So instead of sharing my favorite captain and flex plays, I’ll be discussing my favorite plays at each position for Thursday’s three-game slate. We have the Bills taking on the Lions in the first game, the Cowboys hosting the Giants in the second game, and the Patriots will travel to face the Vikings to cap off the holiday.
While recognizing that ham is the superior meat to turkey on Thanksgiving, here are my favorite plays for Thursday’s three-game slate on DraftKings.
Josh Allen @ DET ($8,000)
Allen and the Bills will be playing at Ford Field for the second straight game after he produced a season-low 12.6 points in Week 11. The good news for Allen is that he’ll get to go up against a Lions defense on Thursday that is giving up the most QB points per game. And Jeff Okudah’s status is uncertain due to a concussion. If I’m using the gunslinging signal-caller of the Bills, I’m looking to stack him with Stefon Diggs, Gabriel Davis, or Dawson Knox.
Dak Prescott vs. NYG ($6,200)
When Prescott and the offense of the Cowboys are in a rhythm, there aren’t many better offenses in the NFL. The Pro Bowl quarterback has topped 20-plus points on DraftKings in three straight appearances as he’s thrown multiple touchdowns in each of those games. If Allen isn’t going to get red-zone touches for the Bills until his elbow is one hundred percent, then Prescott can supply similar production at a $1,800 discount. Stack Prescott with CeeDee Lamb, Dalton Schultz, Michael Gallup, and on a small slate, I’m fine using Tony Pollard with Prescott.
Tony Pollard vs. NYG ($6,600)
Speaking of Pollard, it appears that the dynamic back is beginning to finally see more work out of the backfield for the Cowboys. With Ezekiel Elliott not fully recovered from a knee injury, Pollard appears to be the more effective back after contributing 189 scrimmage yards and 2 touchdowns on 21 touches despite Elliott returning in Week 11. His 1.10 PER rating is fourth among all running backs. The Giants are allowing 5.3 yards per attempt (tied for second-most in the NFL) and 10.1 yards per reception (most in the NFL) to RBs this season, so the home-run plays could be there for Pollard on Thursday.
Rhamondre Stevenson @ MIN ($6,400)
Even when Stevenson rushes for only 26 yards on 15 attempts, he still manages to catch 6 passes for 56 yards in Week 11 versus the Jets. Damien Harris looked like the more explosive back for the Patriots in Week 11, but Stevenson continues to operate as the No. 1 back in New England. He’s been much better than his backfield mate throughout the season. Despite sharing touches with Harris, Stevenson still has a 62.5% opportunity share, which is right behind Austin Ekeler and above Nick Chubb. The Vikings also allow the 10th-most points per game to RBs, so it’s a nice bounce-back spot for Stevenson.
Devin Singletary @ DET ($5,700)
I mentioned above that the Bills haven’t been letting Allen run in the red zone like usual due to his elbow injury. While Allen has yet to record a red-zone carry in the last two weeks, Singletary has received all 14 red-zone carries for the Bills in that span, resulting in him scoring 3 touchdowns. Singletary has garnered 31 rushing attempts in the last two weeks and he’s recorded 16-plus points in back-t0-back games. The Lions have allowed 12 rushing touchdowns this season to RBs (tied for the third-most in the NFL), making Singletary a fantastic option for under $6,000.
Stefon Diggs @ DET ($8,000)
Diggs was already poised to feast on Thanksgiving (on and off the field), but if Okudah is ruled out for the Lions, he might go nuclear against a team he used to face twice a year. The All-Pro wideout tied his season-low with four receptions in Week 11, however, I expect him to see more than five targets like he did on Sunday. Detroit’s defense is surrendering the sixth-most points per game to WRs this season, setting Diggs up for a perfect bounce-back game. I’m fine going down to Lamb at $7,100, but I’d find another way to get exposure to Buffalo’s offense if you’re not using Diggs.
Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. BUF ($6,600)
One of the hottest teams in the NFL right now happens to be playing in the first game on Thanksgiving and I’m talking about the Lions. Detroit has reeled off three consecutive wins and Thursday’s showdown with Buffalo boasts the highest projected total on Thursday at 54.5 points. And if the Bills are scoring 30-plus points like Vegas expects, the Lions are going to be passing to keep up with them, putting St. Brown in a prime spot to deliver a noteworthy performance. St. Brown leads the Lions with a 23.8% target share and he’s scored 15-plus points in each of the last two games.
Jakobi Meyers @ MIN ($5,100)
Using a wide receiver from the Patriots can be frowned upon in DFS, but Meyers is slightly underpriced given his usage in New England’s aerial attack. Meyers has totaled 25 targets in his last three games and we’ve seen him reach 18-plus points three times this season. Meanwhile, the Vikings are permitting the fifth-most points per game to WRs, and using Meyers allows us to pay up elsewhere. Gabe Davis, Darius Slayton, and Adam Thielen are also viable options at a similar salary as Meyers.
T.J Hockenson vs. NE ($5,000)
Paying up at the tight end position could be slightly contrarian if people elect to pay up at other positions on Thursday. The Patriots are known for looking to take away a team’s best weapon and while stopping Justin Jefferson is easier said than done, the other pass-catchers on the Vikings could see more usage. Hockenson has posted nine-plus targets in three straight games for the Vikings and the Patriots are allowing the ninth-most points per game to TEs thus far.
Dawson Knox @ DET ($3,500)
With Allen dealing with an elbow ailment, the strong-armed quarterback has gone from averaging 8.74 yards gained per passing attempt in his first seven games compared to 5.69 yards gained per passing attempt in the last three. Considering that Allen is getting the ball out quicker, Knox has seen an uptick in volume recently with 13 total targets in the last two weeks. Using Knox is a nice way to get exposure to the Bills for cheap and the Lions are allowing the fourth-most points per game to TEs.
Dallas Cowboys vs. NYG ($3,700)
The Giants have looked pedestrian in recent weeks after a hot start to the season and they continue to be shorthanded on offense with Wan’Dale Robinson going on season-ending injured reserve. If the Cowboys can limit the effectiveness of Saquon Barkley and make Daniel Jones beat them with his arm, it could get ugly for the Giants. The defense of the Cowboys has notched 10-plus points on DraftKings in six games this season, including last week’s 40-3 blowout over the Vikings.
New England Patriots @ MIN ($3,000)
Getting a Bill Belichick defense for $3,000 in a primetime game where the Patriots face Kirk Cousins seems like an early Christmas gift. The defense of the Patriots is recording the most points per game (11.9) of the six teams playing on the Thanksgiving slate and they’ve scored 17-plus points in back-to-back games. New England’s defense has allowed 20-plus points just three times this year and they’ve tallied the fifth-most takeaways in the NFL.