Welcome to Week 11 DFS Pick One where I run through a selection of similarly priced players on DraftKings from across the positions and pick the one I’d take when building my Sunday main slate lineups.
Last week was a little disappointing, with only two of my picks beating out their two opponents, with Justin Fields (43.4 points) crushing Tua Tagovailoa and Dak Prescott at quarterback, and Courtland Sutton (12.6 points) outscoring Darnell Mooney and Adam Thielen.
I missed on both running backs as Nick Chubb was outscored by Dalvin Cook, and Dameon Pierce who was outscored by both Raheem Mostert and the returning James Conner. At receiver, Amon-Ra St Brown had a really solid day with a 3.6 times salary investment score (25.1 points), but CeeDee Lamb went off for 41 points against the Packers.
Tight end was a real dud for me as Greg Dulcich scored just 2.1 points, with Cole Kmet smashing with 23.4 points. Finally my DST pick of the Chiefs was OK but nothing special, scoring 6 points to finish behind the Saints (7 points) though ahead of the Rams (2 points).
Onto Week 11 and again I’ve looked across the position groups for some enticing salary match ups to dissect and give my view on who to roster this week.
Russell Wilson vs Las Vegas Raiders ($5,800), Daniel Jones vs Detroit Lions ($5,700) or Derek Carr @ Denver Broncos ($5,600)
My Pick – Daniel Jones
This on face value feels a no-brainer based on the poor play season to date from Russell Wilson, combined with the strength of the Broncos defense the Derek Carr is facing. Daniel Jones is therefore the go to guy from this trio as he gets to face the Lions defense that ranks 31st against the pass per my NEFF rankings and allow the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Stacked with Darius Slayton ($5,000), Jones offers a low cost, high-end play this week.
Alvin Kamara vs Los Angeles Rams ($7,600), Josh Jacobs @ Denver Broncos ($7,500) or Joe Mixon @ Pittsburgh Steelers ($7,400)
My Pick – Joe Mixon
I actually like all three players this week but I’m taking Mixon as the player in the hottest form after his 58 point Week 9 outing and who is going to be the freshest after a bye last week. Yes the Steelers offer the toughest test in terms of run defense, but Mixon’s usage level makes him match up proof at the moment.
Antonio Gibson @ Houston Texans ($5,600), Gus Edwards vs Carolina Panthers ($5,500) or Najee Harris vs Cincinnati Bengals ($5,500)
My Pick – Antonio Gibson
No team allows more points to opposing running backs than the Texans and though Gibson is in a timeshare with Brian Robinson ($5,300) Gibson is being far more efficient with his touches—he ranks RB10 in NECC rating—and is the go to running back in the passing game for Washington.
Tyler Boyd @ Pittsburgh Steelers ($6,500), Amari Cooper @ Buffalo Bills ($6,400) or Gabe Davis vs Cleveland Browns ($6,300)
My Pick – Gabe Davis
With the Bills and Browns game moving to the dome of Detroit because of the snow in Buffalo, I’m liking Gabe Davis. Davis bounced back after a quiet couple of weeks last week to register 93 yards and touchdown against the Vikings. The Browns rank 25th against the pass and with the Bills hurting after back to back losses, this is a great opponent for a get right game and for Davis to put up some serious points in DFS this week.
Terry McLaurin @ Houston Texans ($5,900), Diontae Johnson vs Cincinnati Bengals ($5,800) or DJ Moore @ Baltimore Ravens ($5,700)
My Pick – Terry McLaurin
It’s been night and day for Scary Terry’s fantasy output since Taylor Heinicke took over under center, with an average of 9 targets and 93 receiving yards over the last four weeks. The Texans have been an average pass defense and I’m expecting McLaurin to eat this week.
Dalton Schultz @ Minnesota Vikings ($4,300), Pat Freiermuth vs Cincinnati Bengals ($4,200) or Cole Kmet @ Atlanta Falcons ($4,100)
My Pick – Cole Kmet
I’m riding the hot hand here as Kmet has not only led the Bears in targets over the past two weeks (13), he’s got 5 (FIVE) touchdowns over the last three games. While the Justin Fields express is rolling, Kmet is the player to stack with him.
New England Patriots vs New York Jets ($3,700), New York Giants vs Detroit Lions ($3,600) or Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders ($3,500)
My Pick – New England Patriots
No team has more fantasy points per game on defense than the Patriots this season (11.1) and I love this match up against Zach Wilson and the Jets. In what promises to be a low-scoring game (the over/under is 38 points), I would be backing a defensive score to boost the the Patriots fantasy output this week.