Welcome to NFL DFS Pick One, a series in which, each week, I’ll pick a price range and position that might end up tilting the contest in your behavior and ultimately making a decision on who you should start. Last week we took a look at wide receiver, getting lucky with my recommendation to avoid Brandon Aiyuk, but not being able to foresee that the Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers game would be a mammoth defensive struggle. Hopefully Week 2 brings better results.
This week I’ll take a crack at an interesting grouping of quarterbacks: Justin Herbert ($6,700 on DraftKings), Jalen Hurts ($6,500), and Matthew Stafford ($6,400).
Hurts ranks last in this group for Week 2 for me. While Hurts looked amazing in Week 1, he did so against an Atlanta Falcons team that gave up the most points to quarterbacks in 2020. Not too much has changed for Atlanta in that regard in 2021. The San Francisco 49ers did everything they could to give up the win in their opening matchup against the Detroit Lions, and I’ll bet they correct that effort in Week 2 against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Matthew Stafford had an excellent first game in his new adventure with the Los Angeles Rams. Stafford looked like he was still getting used to a lot of the quarterback movement so ingrained in Sean McVay’s scheme, but I expect that as the year goes on, he’ll get more and more comfortable with that movement. That bodes well for Stafford drafters in our season long leagues, but in the DFS game, we still have a ways to go before we see the Rams QB as, perhaps, a weekly top-3 pick.
Herbert had “the worst” Week 1 of all three quarterbacks, but I’m picking him to finish at the top of this list in Week 2. Washington’s defense started looking formidable near the end of last season, and despite a losing effort, the Washingtonians picked up right where they left off in 2021. Despite the stout defensive opposition, Herbert, too, seemed to pick up right where he left off in 2020. This week, the Los Angeles Chargers play a Dallas Cowboys team who may not be as bad defensively as they looked against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but this Dallas D is certainly not the pride of Texas. The Cowboys will end up in more than their fair share of boat-races here in 2021, and that sets up Herbert to go absolutely bananas in Week 2.
Which QB would you draft to your DFS squad this week? Let me know in the comments!