Welcome to NFL DFS Pick One, a series in which, each week, I’ll pick a price range and position that might end up tilting the contest in your behavior and ultimately making a decision on who you should start. We’re going thrift shopping at QB this week. In Week 3, we have a couple of spicy matchups and a rookie finally gets his shot.
Our three candidates for this week: Matt Ryan @ New Jersey Giants ($5,400 on DraftKings), Justin Fields @ Cleveland Browns ($5,200), and Trevor Lawrence vs Arizona Cardinals ($5,500).
Trevor Lawrence’s rookie season hasn’t gotten off to a fantastic start, but he has made some beautiful throws. While saddled with Urban Meyer, Lawrence is still playing with an amazing trio of wide receivers in Marvin Jones, D.J. Chark, and Laviska Shenault. The Jags host a Cardinals team that shut down the Tennessee Titans in Week 1, but then forgot they needed to cover wide receivers 20-yards past the line of scrimmage in their game against the Minnesota Vikings.
So what will that mean in Week 3 against the flailing Jags?
Jacksonville would be well served to circle the wagons and give the ball to James Robinson 30 times, but it seems more likely that we’ll end up seeing Lawrence forced to play catchup for 3-quarters in this one. With a Cardinals pass-rush that could absolutely shred this maligned Jaguars offensive line, we’re weighing the value of playing from behind VS the disadvantage of a pass-rush hell-bent on padding their sack numbers. I like taking a shot on Lawrence in a few lineups, but he’s third on this list.
Justin Fields, despite relentless opposition from the Chicago Bears’ coaching staff, got a little playing time in Week 2 against the Cincinnati Bengals. Fields’s performance was up and down. He fumbled, recovered said fumble, and he threw a pick that let Cincy back in the game.
Fields showed good mobility and threw a beautiful pass to Allen Robinson in the end zone, it would have been a tough catch for Robinson but it is the type of catch we’ve seen him make with awe-inspiring regularity.
Andy Dalton will miss Week 3 with the bruised knee, and so Fields is set to start against the Browns (unless Matt Nagy decides Nick Foles should get the start… I wouldn’t put it past Nagy). Excited for Fields to get a full game, still, he ranks as the middle-option for this week for me.
Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons offense have looked horrible in their first two matchups. Outside of the wonderful surprise that is Cordarrelle Patterson (whom you should have already added off waivers by now), everyone has looked flat. Ryan, Calvin Ridley, Mike Davis, and Kyle Pitts have all disappointed fantasy GMs, and their play on the field has been a perfect reflection of their performance on the fake gridiron.
Queue the New York Football Giants.
If the Falcons are going to have a get-right game this season, we’ve got a good candidate here.
The Giants early generosity to their opponents may be the salve that soothes Arthur Smith’s ailing attack. And so the mind-bottling analysis here is that Matt Ryan is indeed not finished just yet, and the Falcons are going to come out swinging like a New Jersey native in this one. Ryan is my top-pick of these 3 bargains at QB.
Fire up Kyle Pitts, too, because the Giants have given up the fourth-most points to opposing TEs this year.
Which QB would you draft to your DFS squad this week? Let me know in the comments!