Welcome to the NerdBall NFL Power Rankings. We love data here, and produce many statistics to help you identify those edges needed to help you win your fantasy leagues and make money playing DFS or betting on NFL games. One of the key stats we bring to you are out team NEFF ratings, a statistical analysis of team performance that allows us to rank the 32 NFL teams to show you who’s statistically good (and not so good).
In these weekly power rankings, I am going to take those NEFF rankings and look to layer on my own tape review of each team to give an alternative view of how the teams in the NFL should be ranked, with some short commentary over why the teams are ranked where they are.
After a big week for the Bengals offense, they find themselves inside the top 10. Meanwhile, a bad loss for the Packers has them tumbling down the rankings.
Without further ado, let’s get into my NFL power rankings heading into Week 7.
| Rank | Team | Last Week | +/- | NEFF Rank | ONEFF Rank | DNEFF Rank | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills (5-1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Big time win on the road in Kansas City and still the cream of the NFL crop. Good time for a bye week to regroup and go again |
| 2 | Philadelphia Eagles (6-0) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | Headed for their bye week by staying perfect holding off a spirited Cowboys fightback |
| 3 | Kansas City Chiefs (4-2) | 4 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 26 | They may have lost to the Bills but they ran them close and are still a major player in the AFC |
| 4 | Minnesota Vikings (5-1) | 7 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 22 | Its not always pretty but the Vikings keep on winning and have breathing space in the NFC North |
| 5 | Dallas Cowboys (4-2) | 6 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 2 | A divisional loss to the Eagles but Dak is set to return to compliment their top-3 defense |
| 6 | San Francisco 49ers (3-3) | 3 | -3 | 3 | 16 | 1 | A disappointing loss to the Falcons impacted by the injuries on defense mean they drop down this week |
| 7 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) | 5 | -2 | 6 | 18 | 5 | Still a mess on offense but remain favorites in the NFC South |
| 8 | Los Angeles Chargers (4-2) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 21 | Scrappy win over the Broncos but keeping pace with the Chiefs |
| 9 | Baltimore Ravens (3-3) | 8 | -1 | 14 | 6 | 18 | Would be 4-2 but for an end game meltdown from Lamar vs the Giants. Still a top-10 team for me at the moment |
| 10 | Cincinnati Bengals (3-3) | 14 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 3 wins out of 4 and a big game from Chase pushes the Bengals into the top-10 |
| 11 | New England Patriots (3-3) | 17 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | Back to back wins by more than 20 points and the Bears up next for the in-form Patriots |
| 12 | Los Angeles Rams (3-3) | 15 | 3 | 19 | 28 | 10 | Much better from the Rams offense this week as they head into their bye week |
| 13 | Miami Dolphins (3-3) | 11 | -2 | 28 | 14 | 29 | Dolphins drop again after third straight loss but Tua should return in Week 7 |
| 14 | New York Giants (5-1) | 21 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 14 | I'm starting to think the Giants might just be a good team. Brian Daboll in the running for coach of the year |
| 15 | Tennessee Titans (3-2) | 16 | 1 | 25 | 21 | 25 | Slight bump despite the bye week as teams around them struggled in Week 6 |
| 16 | Green Bay Packers (3-3) | 9 | -7 | 16 | 14 | 16 | Looking distinctly average after back to back losses to New York teams |
| 17 | Cleveland Browns (2-4) | 12 | -5 | 13 | 5 | 27 | Dominated by the Patriots and defensively looking worse each week |
| 18 | New York Jets (4-2) | 22 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 11 | A fully deserved win in Green Bay and the Jets are motoring up the rankings |
| 19 | Atlanta Falcons (3-3) | 20 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 28 | Brilliant win over the 49ers and I'm enjoying the wild ride the Falcons are taking us on this season |
| 20 | New Orleans Saints (2-4) | 13 | -7 | 10 | 9 | 24 | One of the hardest teams to rank due to their offensive injuries but still in touch in the NFC South |
| 21 | Seattle Seahawks (3-3) | 24 | 3 | 31 | 20 | 30 | Did enough to beat the disappointing Cardinals in the too close to call NFC West |
| 22 | Arizona Cardinals (2-4) | 18 | -4 | 20 | 19 | 20 | Another disappointing loss and the Cardinals hope the return of DeAndre Hopkins gives them a spark to ignite their season |
| 23 | Indianapolis Colts (3-2-1) | 29 | 6 | 29 | 29 | 13 | Signs of life from the Colts' offense against the Jaguars bu still the worst team with a winning record. |
| 24 | Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) | 25 | 1 | 30 | 25 | 22 | I did not see that win coming but it keeps the Steelers in touch in the AFC North |
| 25 | Denver Broncos (2-4) | 23 | -2 | 21 | 30 | 4 | Defensively intimidating but still a huge number of question marks on offense |
| 26 | Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) | 19 | -7 | 15 | 17 | 11 | Heartbreaking loss to the Colts has the Jaguars on a 3 game losing streak and free-falling down the rankings |
| 27 | Detroit Lions (1-4) | 26 | -1 | 24 | 3 | 32 | Drop one during the bye week and hope to see some defensive improvement in Week 7 |
| 28 | Las Vegas Raiders (1-4) | 27 | -1 | 23 | 11 | 31 | Like the Lions, drop one spot during the bye week with the Colts moving up |
| 29 | Washington Commanders (2-4) | 28 | -1 | 21 | 27 | 17 | They may have stacked their second win but it was against a poor Bears team and now they've lost Carson Wentz for up to 6 weeks |
| 30 | Houston Texans (1-3-1) | 31 | 1 | 18 | 26 | 8 | Bye week bump for the Texans with Carolina's fall |
| 31 | Chicago Bears (2-4) | 32 | 1 | 26 | 31 | 14 | Only move up due to the mess in Carolina. 7 points against the Commanders was a poor show |
| 32 | Carolina Panthers (1-5) | 30 | -2 | 32 | 32 | 18 | An interim coach, injured quarterbacks and looking to trade their best assets pushes the Panthers to the bottom of the rankings |