I’ve rebranded the classic fantasy football starts and sits column to one that hopefully offers more assistance when setting your lineups. A roast is a player who is not only a clear start, but could be in for a monster game. A ghost meanwhile is a player who could just be a typical sit (not worth even starting) or a fade, a star player who gives you less than you were expecting.
However, that’s not all this season!
This year, for our Patreon members, I’ve got a roast, ghost, and a coast—a player who’s a solid, confident start—for every game each week. Make sure you join our Patreon ASAP so you don’t miss even more starts and sits content.
I have a roast and a ghost for each position to help you set your best lineups for Week 4. Let’s get it!
Roasts of the Week
QB Russell Wilson vs Las Vegas Raiders
It’s been a rough start to the year for Wilson managers—and Broncos fans in general—but that all ends this week. The Raiders are giving up 23.3 points per game to quarterbacks (29th) and their pass defense ranks 29th per NEFF rating. Every quarterback the Raiders have faced this season has scored at least 18 points, with two dropping over 23. I have faith Wilson and the Broncos will be able to take full advantage of this matchup.
RB Breece Hall vs Pittsburgh Steelers
I’ve officially dubbed this Breece Hall Breakout Week™. The Jets’ rookie back has steadily seen his opportunity share increase, peaking last week vs the Bengals at 60%. He also ranks 9th among running backs in both target share (13.5%) and PER rating (0.94). The Steelers meanwhile are top 10 in both rushing yards (4th) and receiving yards (9th) allowed to running backs this season. A growing workload with a plus-matchup is only going to mean bigger fantasy performances for the young back.
WR Marquise Brown vs Carolina Panthers
I feel bad for the Panthers’ secondary. They’re coming off a week in which they gave up 147 yards to Chris Olave and now have to face the red-hot Marquise Brown. Over the last two weeks, Brown has seen 28 targets, catching 20 for 208 yards. Carolina is giving up the fifth-most fantasy points to wide receivers out wide (57.5), which is of course where Brown has run the vast majority of his routes. Brown is in for another WR1 week.
TE David Njoku vs Atlanta Falcons
Njoku is coming off a stellar Week 3 where he caught 9-of-10 targets for 89 yards and a touchdown. The Browns’ tight end has been a go-to target for Jacoby Brissett, finishing second on the team in targets each of the last two weeks. The Falcons defense is allowing the second-most fantasy points and a whopping eight targets per game to opposing tight ends. Averaging 1.58 fantasy points per target (10th among TE), I’m trusting Njoku to dominate this matchup.
Ghosts of the Week
QB Justin Herbert vs Houston Texans
It’s no secret the Chargers offense is struggling. Herbert is dealing with a serious rib injury while the entire offense looks stuck in first-gear. Herbert finished well outside QB1 territory last week vs the Jaguars and it’s not going to get easier for him this week. As crazy as it might sound, this Texans defense is actually playing good football to start the year. They rank sixth overall, with the second-best pass defense per NEFF, and have allowed the fifth-fewest points to opposing QBs. Stay away from Herbert if you can.
RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Edwards-Helaire has been a fantasy revelation this season, currently sitting as the RB4 in .5PPR. Despite his low snap percent (41%) and opportunity share (44.7%), CEH has been hyper-efficient, boasting a 1.39 PER rating which leads all backs. However, he also has a high touchdown dependency, ranking sixth among RBs (38.2%). All this to say that CEH’s hot start is unsustainable and faces a huge roadblock this week against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is allowing just 9.46 points per game to opposing backs this season.
WR Allen Lazard vs New England Patriots
As a herpetologist who specializes in Allen Lazards, it pains me to put him as my ghost of the week. While Lazard has been productive since missing Week 1—he’s averaging 10.4 .5PPR points per game—the matchup vs New England is not a good one. The Patriots are allowing the fifth-fewest points to wide receivers, including just 9.1 points in the red zone (5th). With over 57% of his fantasy production coming from touchdowns (1st among WR), Lazard is a fade this week against such a strong red zone defense.
TE Logan Thomas vs Dallas Cowboys
Currently the TE12 in .5PPR, Thomas has been solid for fantasy managers. His role in Washington’s offense though is not as solid. Thomas has the second-lowest target share among TE1s, seeing just 10.8% of the Commanders’ targets. Facing a Cowboys defense that has been one of the best vs tight ends, allowing just 4.3 points per game (T-3rd), Thomas isn’t worth starting this week.
Week 4 Rundown
MIA vs CIN
Roast: Joe Burrow
Coast: Tyler Boyd
Ghost: Raheem Mostert
MIN vs NO
Roast: Alvin Kamara
Coast: Chris Olave, Alexander Mattison