Each week, I pick my favorite NFL player prop bets to build a five pick ’em parlay over on Underdog Fantasy. I track my progress and see how I do at the end of the year. Here are my best picks for Week 9.
It would be a little dramatic to say my first week using Underdog pick-em was disastrous, but I’ll surely say I didn’t exactly nail it.
I split my two, sure-fire over/unders with Just Fields hitting the under on 199.5 passing yards, but I missed Cordarrelle Patterson hitting the over on 80 rushing + receiving yards by 8 lousy yards! As far as the pick-5 went… well you can go back and look at it if you please.
Week 9 is here, though, so enough about Week 8!
Alvin Kamara, OVER 117.5 yards rushing + receiving vs Atlanta Falcons
Sean Payton is going with Trevor Siemian as his starting QB with Jameis Winston out for the season with a knee injury. This should pave the way for another gigantic workload for Kamara. Atlanta is coming around here as we move toward the middle segment of the year, but they’re still a weak team defensively, and a great strategy for a limited backup QB would be to get the running back do all the heavy lifting they can. Despite the big number, 118 yards is nothing to sneeze at, I believe Kamara will top this number for the 5th time this year.
Ezekiel Elliott, OVER 98.5 rushing + receiving yards vs Denver Broncos
This is another big number for another big-time back. Zeke has been balling out as of late, and coming off the bye-week, facing a Broncos side who just gave away Von Miller, I don’t expect the Cowboys to face too much opposition defensively this week at home. I hope Dak plays as that should be a big boost for everyone on the Cowboys offense, but even if Cooper Rush is under center again, I like Zeke to put up 100 all-purpose yards in a snooze-fest.
Travis Kelce, OVER 0.5 receiving touchdowns vs Green Bay Packers
It has been a tough couple of weeks for the league’s premier tight end and for just about all the Chiefs in general. Hosting an Aaron Rodgers-less Packers side will give Kansas City a great opportunity to right the ship against a contender. In general I don’t like touchdown props, but the struggling Chiefs need to get it going. Moreover, they need to get Kelce back in the game plan.
Tyrod Taylor, OVER 228.5 passing yards vs Miami Dolphins
Brandin Cooks, OVER 68.5 receiving yards vs Dolphins
The Texans, as a franchise, are in shambles. But with Tyrod Taylor back under center, this Texans offense should, yet again, resemble a semi-functioning NFL offense. These numbers are just too low to pass up for two veterans like Taylor and Cooks going against a Dolphins defense that has certainly lost the reputation they built up in 2020.