Welcome to the NerdBall NFL Power Rankings. We love data here, and produce many statistics to help you identify those edges needed to help you win your fantasy leagues and DFS bets. One of the key stats we bring to you are out team NEFF rating. This is a statistical analysis of team performance that allows us to rank the 32 NFL teams to show you who’s statistically good, and not so good.
In these weekly power rankings, I take each team’s NEFF rankings and add layer of my own tape review to give an alternative view of how the teams in the NFL should be ranked.
Three straight wins for the Bengals see them leapfrog their AFC North rival Ravens as the Broncos put up another offensive dud and have now dropped into the bottom three of the rankings.
Without further ado, let’s get into my NFL power rankings heading into Week 13.
| Rank | Team | Last Week | +/- | NEFF Rank | ONEFF Rank | DNEFF Rank | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia Eagles (10-1) | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | Turned on the offense to run for over 360 yards against the Packers and remain top of the power rankings |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 15 | Easily disposed of the Rams and looking like the team to beat in the AFC |
| 3 | Dallas Cowboys (8-3) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | Eased away from the Giants in the second half of their Thanksgiving game and have the Colts, Texans and Jaguars up next |
| 4 | Buffalo Bills (8-3) | 3 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | Taken all the way by the Lions on Thanksgiving and not looking quite the force of earlier in the year |
| 5 | San Francisco 49ers (7-4) | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | Confidence will be high after shutting out the Saints last week but the Dolphins will pose a sterner test. |
| 6 | Miami Dolphins (8-3) | 6 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 24 | Had the Texans beat before half time but now travel to face the fierce 49ers defense. Huge game in their season |
| 7 | Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) | 9 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | Three straight wins and Chase set to return has the Bengals' arrow pointing up right now |
| 8 | Minnesota Vikings (9-2) | 7 | -1 | 24 | 17 | 23 | Back on track after the Cowboys loss. Feels like they need to be an offense first team to be a force in the playoffs |
| 9 | Baltimore Ravens (7-4) | 8 | -1 | 9 | 11 | 8 | Horrible loss to the Jaguars but will hope to get right against the Broncos offense this week |
| 10 | Tennessee Titans (7-4) | 10 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 12 | Played the Bengals close and still a top-10 team for me. The Eagles up next will be a test of that top tier run defense |
| 11 | Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) | 14 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 25 | Scraped a victory to stay in the AFC playoff hunt but still an incomplete team due to injury |
| 12 | New England Patriots (6-5) | 13 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 3 | The offense showed some life despite the loss ahead of the big TNF match up against the Bills |
| 13 | Seattle Seahawks (6-5) | 11 | -2 | 21 | 19 | 29 | Back to back defeats and conceding 40 points at home is a worrying trend for the Seahawks and their playoff chances |
| 14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6) | 12 | -2 | 10 | 16 | 7 | The offensive struggles continue for the Bucs who are stumbling towards the end of the regular season |
| 15 | New York Jets (7-4) | 16 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 6 | The savior has arrived and Mike White is taking the Jets to the playoffs |
| 16 | Washington Commanders (7-5) | 19 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 10 | They just keep winning and now have back to back games against the falling Giants. 9-5 anyone? |
| 17 | New York Giants (7-4) | 15 | -2 | 23 | 22 | 21 | Injuries are de-railing their strong start and these consecutive games vs Washington will define their season |
| 18 | Atlanta Falcons (5-7) | 17 | -1 | 31 | 20 | 30 | Still only a game back on the Bucs despite throwing away a victory against the Commanders |
| 19 | Cleveland Browns (4-7) | 20 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 26 | Probably too little too late for the Browns but what can Deshaun Watson do after not playing for nearly two years? |
| 20 | Arizona Cardinals (5-7) | 18 | -2 | 22 | 14 | 28 | Had the Chargers beaten and couldn't get a final stop. Sums up a poor season for the Cardinals |
| 21 | Green Bay Packers (4-8) | 21 | 0 | 19 | 15 | 20 | Run over by the Eagles, but Jordan Love looked good in limited snaps |
| 22 | New Orleans Saints (4-8) | 22 | 0 | 14 | 21 | 17 | Far from out of a chance of the playoffs but need to get something going on offense. |
| 23 | Detroit Lions (4-7) | 23 | 0 | 18 | 7 | 32 | Battled hard but that defense keeps letting the Lions down. Fun game vs the Jaguars this week. |
| 24 | Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) | 27 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 19 | The last-gasp win keeps the Jags' hopes alive but need to follow it up and beat the Lions this week |
| 25 | Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7) | 28 | 3 | 30 | 25 | 22 | Squeezed past the Colts on MNF but eyes must already be on improvements for 2023 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Rams (3-8) | 24 | -2 | 29 | 30 | 18 | The injuries keep mounting on a team in freefall. I can't see them winning again this season |
| 27 | Indianapolis Colts (4-7-1) | 25 | -2 | 25 | 31 | 11 | Jeff Saturday's lack of experience may have cost them the game against the Steelers but they remain a more competitive outfit under him |
| 28 | Las Vegas Raiders (4-7) | 29 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 31 | The Josh Jacobs 5th year option revenge season has been the best thing about this Raiders team |
| 29 | Carolina Panthers (4-8) | 31 | 2 | 26 | 28 | 14 | Somehow the Panthers are just a game back in the NFC South. How long will the Sam Darnold train stay on the rails? |
| 30 | Denver Broncos (3-8) | 26 | -4 | 28 | 29 | 9 | Into to the bottom five now for the Broncos after yet another offensive no-show |
| 31 | Chicago Bears (3-9) | 30 | -1 | 27 | 24 | 27 | Its just no fun without Justin Fields, though the Jets enjoyed themselves in a one-sided rout |
| 32 | Houston Texans (1-9-1) | 32 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 15 | Horrible showing against the Dolphins and the Texans are headed for that first overall oick in 2023 |